What level of likelihood corresponds with an adversary being somewhat likely to initiate a threat event?

The level of likelihood that corresponds with an adversary being somewhat likely to initiate a threat event is defined as "Moderate." This classification suggests that there is a reasonable chance of an adversary taking action, indicating that the threat is plausible but not guaranteed.

In risk assessment, likelihood levels help organizations prioritize their security measures. A "Moderate" likelihood means that while the threat is possible and should be taken into consideration, it does not possess the immediacy or high probability of a "Very High" likelihood scenario, where the threat event is anticipated to happen frequently or imminently. Conversely, "Low" and "Very Low" likelihood categories indicate that the adversary's potential to act is considerably less, suggesting that while it is not impossible, it is not a significant concern at this time. Thus, identifying a likelihood level of "Moderate" is crucial for appropriate risk management and resource allocation.